Claim 24a34b97Checked 21 Jul 2026
TrueOn the truth scale
The Conservatives presided over the biggest fall in living standards on record.
Keir StarmerLabourThe Prime Minister·Engagements·03 Jun 2026Factual · quantitative empirical
Reasoning & Evidence21 Jul 2026
The claim that the Conservatives "presided over the biggest fall in living standards on record" is strongly supported by multiple authoritative sources. **OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility)** — the UK government's official forecaster — confirmed that real household disposable income (RHDI) per person fell by 1.9% in 2022-23, which it described as "the largest fall in any single financial year since ONS records began in 1956-57." The OBR also confirmed that the cumulative two-year fall (2022-23 and 2023-24) was "the biggest two-year drop since records began in 1956-57." The OBR itself used the phrase "biggest fall in living standards" and "record fall" in its own publications. **Resolution Foundation** found that the 2019-2024 parliament was "the worst for income growth since the 1950s" and "the third worst in post-Edwardian Britain." Over the full 14 years of Conservative government (2009-10 to 2023-24), non-pensioner incomes grew by just 7%, compared to 38% in the previous 14 years. **IFS** found that the 2019-2024 parliament was "the worst parliament for growth in material living standards since at least 1961" and that real wages showed no increase between 2010 and 2023. Multiple major media outlets (BBC, Reuters) reported this as "biggest fall in living standards on record," using the OBR's own language. There is some nuance: over the full 14 years, incomes grew slightly rather than falling, and the Resolution Foundation notes that going back before 1950s records, the 1918-1922 parliament saw an estimated 8% fall. However, the OBR's records (from 1956-57) do confirm the biggest single-year and two-year falls on record occurred during the Conservatives' time in office. The claim is a fair characterization of the record. Sources: - Office for Budget Responsibility, "Developments in the outlook for household living standards" — https://obr.uk/box/developments-in-the-outlook-for-household-living-standards/ - Office for Budget Responsibility, "The outlook for household income and consumption" — https://obr.uk/box/the-outlook-for-household-income-and-consumption/ - Office for Budget Responsibility, "Forecast evaluation report – October 2023" — https://obr.uk/fer/forecast-evaluation-report-october-2023/ - Resolution Foundation, "Current parliament remains on track to be the worst for living standards growth since the 1950s" — https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/press-releases/current-parliament-remains-on-track-to-be-the-worst-for-living-standards-growth-since-the-1950s/ - Resolution Foundation, "The Living Standards Outlook 2024" — https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/2024/08/Living-Standards-Outlook-2024.pdf - Institute for Fiscal Studies, "Living standards since the last election" — https://ifs.org.uk/publications/living-standards-last-election - Institute for Fiscal Studies, "The Conservatives and the Economy, 2010–24" — https://ifs.org.uk/publications/conservatives-and-economy-2010-24 - BBC News, "UK faces biggest fall in living standards on record" — https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63659936 - Reuters, "UK still faces record hit to living standards, OBR predicts" — https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-still-faces-record-hit-living-standards-obr-predicts-2023-03-15/
From speech
Forgive me if I do not take too much notice of the Leader of the Opposition. For 14 years they broke our welfare system, lost control of our borders, presided over the biggest fall in living standards on record, and broke the economy, prisons and the NHS—I could go on and on. No wonder she and the Conservatives are totally irrelevant. This Labour Government are delivering change. The biggest upgrade in workers’ rights in a generation—delivered. The Renters’ Rights Act 2026—delivered. Record funding for our NHS—delivered. The fastest growing economy in the G7—delivered. Lifting half a million children out of poverty—delivered. We are going to fight even harder for working people and a stronger and fairer Britain.
Sources opened
[1]ifs.org.uk
https://ifs.org.uk/publications/living-standards-last-election
[2]ifs.org.uk
https://ifs.org.uk/publications/conservatives-and-economy-2010-24
[3]resolutionfoundation.org
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/2024/06/Hard-times-Updatedv2.pdf
[4]ifs.org.uk
https://ifs.org.uk/sites/default/files/2024-07/Living-standards-poverty-and-inequality-in-the-UK-2024-IFS-Report-R329.pdf
[5]resolutionfoundation.org
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/press-releases/current-parliament-remains-on-track-to-be-the-worst-for-living-standards-growth-since-the-1950s/
[6]resolutionfoundation.org
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/app/uploads/2024/08/Living-Standards-Outlook-2024.pdf
[7]obr.uk
https://obr.uk/box/the-outlook-for-household-income-and-consumption/
[8]resolutionfoundation.org
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/the-living-standards-outlook-2024/
[9]theguardian.com
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/mar/07/household-incomes-to-fall-despite-ni-cuts-resolution-foundation-thinktank
[10]obr.uk
https://obr.uk/box/developments-in-the-outlook-for-household-living-standards/
[11]bbc.co.uk
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-63659936
[12]reuters.com
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-still-faces-record-hit-living-standards-obr-predicts-2023-03-15/
[13]bbc.com
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-60846951
[14]bbc.com
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-64963869
[15]obr.uk
https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Exec-sum.pdf
[16]obr.uk
https://obr.uk/fer/forecast-evaluation-report-october-2023/
[17]obr.uk
https://obr.uk/docs/dlm_uploads/Forecast-evaluation-report-October-2023.pdf
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