**Analysis of the claim: "The marches have led directly to attacks on Jewish individuals in the streets."** **Cause identified:** Regular pro-Palestinian marches/protests (characterised by the speaker as "hate marches" with chants of "globalise the intifada"). **Effect identified:** Attacks on Jewish individuals in the streets. **Evidence reviewed:** 1. **Community Security Trust (CST) Antisemitic Incidents Reports (2024, 2025):** The CST is the primary authoritative body tracking antisemitic incidents in the UK. Their 2025 report recorded 3,700 antisemitic incidents — the second-highest annual total ever — with 53% referencing Israel/Gaza. Critically, the CST notes that since 7 October 2023, the borough of Westminster has seen elevated antisemitic incident levels "due partly to the prevalence of political protests" there. The CST specifically records that "at least 47 antisemitic incidents took place in Westminster either at, or in transit to or from, anti-Israel demonstrations or vigils for the hostages" in 2025. This directly links some attacks to the marches. 2. **Documented incidents at/near marches:** Multiple specific incidents have been reported: - A 16-year-old hurled a glass bottle at two Jewish men near Waterloo Bridge during an anti-Israel protest in London. - At a Brighton pro-Palestinian march, demonstrators threatened Jewish counter-protesters and made gun gestures at them. - The CST records that "Free Palestine" was shouted at random Jewish people in public on at least 210 occasions in 2025 as a form of harassment, directly connecting protest-associated rhetoric to street-level targeting of Jewish individuals. 3. **However, the CST's overall analysis is more nuanced:** The CST attributes the surge in antisemitism broadly to the Israel-Gaza conflict as a "trigger event," not specifically to the marches. They note that "while mostly peaceful, these occasions have attracted individuals who were reported to CST for anti-Jewish placards, leaflets and hate speech." The majority of the 3,700 incidents in 2025 did not occur at marches. The CST's causal framework treats the marches as one contributor to a broader climate, not as the direct cause of most attacks. 4. **The arson attacks referenced in the speech (2026):** The recent arson attacks on Jewish homes and synagogues are being investigated by counter-terrorism police, with a "key line of inquiry" into "criminal proxies" being paid to carry out attacks, and propaganda linked to Iranian regime-associated social media channels. These appear to be a distinct phenomenon from the street marches, more closely tied to state-sponsored terrorism than to protest activity. 5. **Expert assessment:** Jonathan Hall KC, the government's independent reviewer of terror legislation, told BBC Panorama that "hatred in the public sphere towards Jews has made them more acceptable as a target for terrorism," and police/policy experts believe this broader climate has "helped create the conditions" for serious anti-Jewish hate crimes. This supports a diffuse, climate-related causal mechanism rather than a direct one-to-one link from marches to attacks. **Assessment:** The evidence supports that some attacks on Jewish individuals occurred directly at or near the marches, and that the marches contributed to an elevated climate of antisemitism. However, the claim uses the word "directly," which implies a tight causal chain from the marches themselves to attacks on Jewish individuals. The CST's own analysis frames the marches as one contributor within a broader ecosystem of Israel-related antisemitism, and notes that most incidents did not occur at marches. The specific arson attack referenced in the speech appears linked to a separate phenomenon (Iranian-backed criminal proxies). The causal link is reasonable and supported in part, but the blanket assertion of a "direct" causal relationship is stronger than what the evidence fully establishes. **Sources:** - Community Security Trust, Antisemitic Incidents Report 2025: https://cst.org.uk/research/cst-publications/antisemitic-incidents-report-2025 - Community Security Trust, Antisemitic Incidents Report January–June 2025: https://cst.org.uk/research/cst-publications/antisemitic-incidents-report-january-june-2025 - Jewish Breaking News, "Met Police Launch Investigation After Teen Hurls Bottle at Jewish Men During Anti-Israel Protest in London": https://jewishbreakingnews.com/met-police-launch-investigation-after-teen-hurls-bottle-at-jewish-men-during-anti-israel-protest-in-london/ - Jewish News, "Brighton memorial to 7 October victims targeted during pro-Palestinian march": https://www.jewishnews.co.uk/brighton-memorial-to-7-october-victims-targeted-during-pro-palestinian-march/ - BBC News, "Counter-terror investigation into east London synagogue fire": https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c89370yygx5o - BBC News, "Boy, 17, pleads guilty to synagogue arson attack": https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c86exglegwno - CNN, "Anxiety mounts in London's Jewish community amid wave of antisemitic attacks": https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/20/uk/anxiety-london-jewish-antisemitic-attacks-scli-intl - The Standard, "Police launch hunt after thugs smash windows and throw paint on Jewish-owned London business": https://www.standard.co.uk/news/crime/police-hate-crime-jewish-business-b1230275.html - The Standard, "Pram set alight in 'arson attack' at block of flats in Golders Green": https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/arson-attack-jewish-families-flat-golders-green-london-b1284692.html