Claim d25bacfcChecked 09 Jul 2026
PlausibleOn the evidence scale
Even when the status quo is pointing in entirely the wrong direction, it exerts a very strong force on the political class.
Interpreted asmetaphor
Even when the current state of affairs is completely wrong, it still strongly influences the political class.
Nigel Farage·Nigel Farage - High Profiles·ArticleCausal
Reasoning & Evidence09 Jul 2026
The evidence supports a general status-quo effect in politics: an experimental study of 377 incumbent legislators in three countries found that elected politicians often preferred the option presented as the status quo, and in some cases were more likely than non-elites to do so. A separate APSR study of U.S. lawmaking found that institutional features such as bicameralism, separation of powers, and anti-majoritarian rules give the system a "substantial status quo bias" and make policy change harder even when there is public support for change. That said, the claim is phrased very broadly and normatively (“completely wrong”), and the evidence does not show that the status quo always exerts a strong influence in every case; it shows a persistent, well-documented tendency, so “plausible” fits better than “strongly-supported.” Sources: Cambridge Core, "Political Accountability, Legislator Gender, and the Status Quo Bias"; Cambridge Core / American Political Science Review, "Parties, Pivots, and Policy: The Status Quo Test." (cambridge.org)
From article
How can the entire political class be wrong? Well, they were all wrong about Hitler, weren’t they? Out of 600 MPs, there were 20 [who raised the alarm] – and do you know what they were called? Warmongers. Eccentrics. They were lampooned; they were considered to be mad. Even when Churchill produced the data [about German rearmament], the political class looked away. You know, we’ve seen it in science, we’ve seen it in business: even if the status quo is pointing in entirely the wrong direction, it exerts a very strong force on the political class – and the more career-orientated our politicians are, the stronger it is.
Sources opened+ 59 search hits considered
[1]cambridge.org
https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/D7C505E79B94196E3DBDCDC50F1F1CB7/S0003055410000638a.pdf/parties_pivots_and_policy_the_status_quo_test.pdf
[2]cambridge.org
https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/AB4943B8705EB409569D4EE28C0F5FB5/S1743923X19000825a.pdf/div-class-title-political-accountability-legislator-gender-and-the-status-quo-bias-div.pdf
[3]cambridge.org
https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/62327F513959D0A304D4893B382B992B/S1537592714001595a.pdf/div-class-title-testing-theories-of-american-politics-elites-interest-groups-and-average-citizens-div.pdf
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