Claim e7b5e63aChecked 21 Jul 2026
FalseOn the truth scale
“There is not one thing the EU has done for the UK that could not have been achieved through normal, bilateral negotiation and agreement.”
Reasoning & Evidence21 Jul 2026
The claim is a strong universal negative counterfactual: that there is **not one thing** the EU has done for the UK that could not have been achieved through bilateral negotiation. This is an extremely sweeping assertion, and the available evidence strongly contradicts it.
Key evidence from multiple authoritative sources:
1. **The UK government's own 2016 assessment** ("Alternatives to membership: possible models for the United Kingdom outside the European Union") stated explicitly: *"No existing bilateral trade agreement would deliver the same level of access that the UK currently enjoys to the EU Single Market. In particular, none provide equivalent access for services, which accounts for almost 80 per cent of the UK economy."* It further noted: *"Even if over time we manage to negotiate replacement bilateral agreements, there is no guarantee that we could fully replace our access to current EU measures for police and security cooperation."*
2. **Financial services "passporting" rights** — a cornerstone of the UK's financial sector — are a feature of Single Market membership that no bilateral agreement has replicated. Switzerland, which has the most extensive bilateral agreements with the EU of any non-member state, does **not** have financial services passporting. Swiss banks must operate through subsidiaries in the EU (historically in London). Academic analysis confirms this: *"no country that is not a member of the EEA has passporting rights for financial services or the same degree of regulatory harmonisation with the EU as exists within the Single Market"* (Oxford Review of Economic Policy).
3. **The EU's collective trade negotiating leverage** as a bloc of ~450 million consumers gave the UK access to 53+ free trade agreements with third countries, negotiated with the weight of the entire bloc. The UK government's own 2013 Balance of Competences review noted: *"it is in no way guaranteed that a country choosing to negotiate on its own can expect to secure a better deal on its own than when part of the block represented by the EU."* This leverage is a structural feature of collective bargaining that bilateral negotiations from a position of lesser power cannot replicate.
4. **The Single Market itself** is a system of harmonised regulation, mutual recognition, and ECJ enforcement across all member states simultaneously — not a series of bilateral agreements. While Switzerland has approximated significant parts of it through bilateral treaties, this required accepting most EU rules without a vote, took decades to negotiate, and still does not cover services comprehensively.
The counterfactual nature of the claim ("could not have been achieved") means absolute certainty is impossible — we cannot replay history. However, the claim is an absolute universal negative ("not one thing"), and the best available evidence from government assessments, academic literature, and real-world examples (Switzerland) consistently shows that several key EU benefits have not been and structurally cannot be fully replicated through bilateral agreements. This strongly contradicts the core assertion.
Sources: UK Government, "Alternatives to membership: possible models for the United Kingdom outside the European Union" (2016), https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a800993e5274a2e87db77a4/Alternatives_to_membership_possible_models_for_the_UK_outside_the_EU_Accessible.pdf; UK Government, "Trade and Investment Balance of Competence — project report" (November 2013), https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/271784/bis-14-512-trade-and-investment-balance-of-competence-review-project-report.pdf; UK Government FOI release, "Trade: EU membership and trade" (2013), https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/220968/foi_eumembership_trade.pdf; Oxford Review of Economic Policy, "A hitch-hiker's guide to post-Brexit trade negotiations: options and principles" (2017), https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grx005; European Parliament Research Service, "The single market at 30 (1993–2023)", https://www.europarl.europa.eu/at-your-service/files/be-heard/religious-and-non-confessional-dialogue/events/en-eprs-bri-2023-749771.pdf
From article
Not that we couldn’t have achieved through normal, bilateral negotiation and agreement, no. Not one thing.
Sources opened